Player breakdown
John Neider
Connecticut · 2026 Draft Class
6-2205 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
29%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Connecticut | Ind | 13 | 27 | 422 | 2 | 15.6 | 32.5 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
29%
ML model output
Context Prob
37%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.843
Recruit dominator synergy+0.464
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.286
Top Negative Factors
-23.5 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.753
Program WR pipeline: 4% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.645
0.15 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.418