Player breakdown
John Ross
Washington · 2017 Draft Class
5-11188 lbs1st round, 9th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~30
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
29%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | CIN | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2018 | CIN | 13 | 10 | 58 | 21 | 210 | 10 | 7 | 16.2 |
| 2019 | CIN | 8 | 8 | 56 | 28 | 506 | 18.1 | 3 | 63.3 |
| 2020 | CIN | 3 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 8.5 | 0 | 5.7 |
| 2021 | NYG | 10 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 224 | 20.4 | 1 | 22.4 |
| 2024 | PHI | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| Career | 38 | 21 | 145 | 63 | 963 | 15.3 | 11 | 25.3 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | Washington | Pac-12 | 13 | 16 | 208 | 1 | 13 | 16 |
| 2014 | Washington | Pac-12 | 13 | 17 | 371 | 4 | 21.8 | 28.5 |
| 2016 | Washington | Pac-12 | 14 | 81 | 1,150 | 17 | 14.2 | 82.1 |
| Career | 40 | 114 | 1,729 | 22 | 15.2 | 43.2 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
23%
ML model output
Context Prob
65%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Physical production synergy+0.232
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.230
BMI 26.2 — ideal frame for NFL WR (188 lbs)+0.227
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-1.546
-11.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.693
Improvement accelerating (+4.5) — getting better faster each year-0.242