Player breakdown
John Ursua
Hawaii · 2019 Draft Class
5-9175 lbs7th round, 236th overallAge at Draft: 25Age: ~32
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
41%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | SEA | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 3.7 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Hawaii | MWC | 14 | 53 | 652 | 3 | 12.3 | 46.6 |
| 2017 | Hawaii | MWC | 6 | 47 | 667 | 5 | 14.2 | 111.2 |
| 2018 | Hawaii | MWC | 13 | 89 | 1,343 | 16 | 15.1 | 103.3 |
| Career | 33 | 189 | 2,662 | 24 | 14.1 | 80.7 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
41%
ML model output
Context Prob
40%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 13% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.250
Recruit dominator synergy+0.435
+28.5 ypg vs. draft class average — above average+0.269
Top Negative Factors
Physical production synergy-0.388
Improvement accelerating (+1.1) — getting better faster each year-0.266
No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.261