Player breakdown
Johnnie Lee Higgins
Texas-El Paso · 2007 Draft Class
5-11186 lbs3rd round, 99th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~42
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
45%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | OAK | 16 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 47 | 7.8 | 0 | 2.9 |
| 2008 | OAK | 16 | 3 | 42 | 22 | 366 | 16.6 | 4 | 22.9 |
| 2009 | OAK | 15 | 5 | 45 | 19 | 263 | 13.8 | 0 | 17.5 |
| 2010 | OAK | 13 | 1 | 30 | 10 | 103 | 10.3 | 0 | 7.9 |
| Career | 60 | 11 | 125 | 57 | 779 | 13.7 | 4 | 13.0 | |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
13%
ML model output
Context Prob
94%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
4
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
BMI 25.9 — ideal frame for NFL WR (186 lbs)+0.223
Class YPR rank: top 7% — elite per-target efficiency+0.196
Speed score 92.3 — below average weight-adjusted athleticism+0.191
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.639
Physical production synergy-0.598
Improvement accelerating (+2.6) — getting better faster each year-0.389