Player breakdown
Johnnie Morant
Syracuse · 2004 Draft Class
6-4229 lbs5th round, 134th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~44
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
20%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | OAK | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 5 |
| 2006 | OAK | 10 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 70 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| Career | 14 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 90 | 11.3 | 0 | 6.4 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001 | Syracuse | Big East | 11 | 18 | 409 | 2 | 22.7 | 37.2 |
| 2002 | Syracuse | Big East | 9 | 24 | 327 | 0 | 13.6 | 36.3 |
| 2003 | Syracuse | Big East | 12 | 46 | 799 | 5 | 17.4 | 66.6 |
| Career | 32 | 88 | 1,535 | 7 | 17.4 | 48.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
16%
ML model output
Context Prob
47%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 17% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.127
Physical production synergy+0.382
BMI 27.9 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (229 lbs)+0.218
Top Negative Factors
-9.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.754
0.22 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.492
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.398