Player breakdown
Jordan Dwyer
Texas Christian · 2026 Draft Class
Undrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Medium
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
42%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Texas Christian | Big 12 | 12 | 54 | 730 | 7 | 13.5 | 60.8 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
32%
ML model output
Context Prob
60%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.867
Recruit dominator synergy+0.360
0.58 TDs/game — reliable scoring role in college+0.209
Top Negative Factors
+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.715
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.570
Accounted for 0.00 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.352