Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jordan Hudson
Jordan Hudson

Player breakdown

Jordan Hudson

SMU · 2026 Draft Class

6-1191 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

12%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2022Texas ChristianBig 121414174312.412.4
2023SMUAmerican1430425714.230.4
2024SMUACC1439422510.830.1
2025SMUACC1161766612.669.6
Career531441,7872112.433.7

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

11%

ML model output

Context Prob

35%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 18% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.135
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 1.04x — route-running independent of system+0.183
Team averaged 0.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.159

Top Negative Factors

-13.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.726
Physical production synergy-0.485
Improvement accelerating (+3.4) — getting better faster each year-0.466

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)