Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jordan Kent
Jordan Kent

Player breakdown

Jordan Kent

Oregon · 2007 Draft Class

6-4217 lbs6th round, 210th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~42
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

8%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2008SEA91700000
2009STL50315501
Career14110155.000.4
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2005OregonPac-108311413814.3
2006OregonPac-101344491411.237.8
Career2147605512.928.8

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

0%

ML model output

Context Prob

51%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.408
BMI 26.4 — ideal frame for NFL WR (217 lbs)+0.176
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 1.03x — route-running independent of system+0.169

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.152
-28.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.564
0.24 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.426

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)