Player breakdown
Jordan Lasley
UCLA · 2018 Draft Class
6-1203 lbs5th round, 162nd overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~29
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
40%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 5.7 | 1.9 |
| 2016 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 11 | 41 | 620 | 5 | 15.1 | 56.4 |
| 2017 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 9 | 69 | 1,264 | 9 | 18.3 | 140.4 |
| Career | 29 | 113 | 1,901 | 14 | 16.8 | 65.6 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
7%
ML model output
Context Prob
90%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
4
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
1.9 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.258
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.241
BMI 26.8 — ideal frame for NFL WR (203 lbs)+0.226
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.644
+9.6 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.529
Improvement accelerating (+73.3) — getting better faster each year-0.388