Player breakdown
Jordan Mosely
Mississippi State · 2026 Draft Class
5-10169 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~23
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
8%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 4 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 1.8 |
| 2022 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3 | 2 | 43 | 0 | 21.5 | 14.3 |
| 2023 | Mississippi State | SEC | 12 | 3 | 45 | 1 | 15 | 3.8 |
| 2024 | Mississippi State | SEC | 12 | 23 | 405 | 3 | 17.6 | 33.8 |
| 2025 | Mississippi State | SEC | 12 | 8 | 168 | 1 | 21 | 14 |
| Career | 43 | 37 | 668 | 5 | 18.1 | 15.5 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
0%
ML model output
Context Prob
51%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.434
Class YPR rank: top 6% — elite per-target efficiency+0.235
45.0 conference-adjusted ypg — SEC/Big Ten players penalized less than spread teams+0.169
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 1% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.413
Improvement accelerating (+56.9) — getting better faster each year-0.576
+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.539