Player breakdown
Jordan Payton
UCLA · 2016 Draft Class
6-1207 lbs5th round, 154th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~33
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
8%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | CLE | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.8 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 13 | 18 | 202 | 1 | 11.2 | 15.5 |
| 2013 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 12 | 38 | 440 | 1 | 11.6 | 36.7 |
| 2014 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 13 | 67 | 954 | 7 | 14.2 | 73.4 |
| 2015 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 13 | 78 | 1,106 | 5 | 14.2 | 85.1 |
| Career | 51 | 201 | 2,702 | 14 | 13.4 | 53.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
0%
ML model output
Context Prob
54%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
BMI 27.3 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (207 lbs)+0.174
Speed score 103.7 — strong weight-adjusted athleticism+0.150
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.502
Physical production synergy-0.547
-3.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.531