Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jordan Shipp
Jordan Shipp

Player breakdown

Jordan Shipp

North Carolina · 2027 Draft Class

6-2190 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~20
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

10%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2024North CarolinaACC129114112.79.5
2025North CarolinaACC1260671611.255.9
Career2469785711.432.7

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

4%

ML model output

Context Prob

47%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Outperformed team passing efficiency by 1.00x — route-running independent of system+0.181
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.85 — elite recruit at elite school+0.163
Team averaged 0.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.157

Top Negative Factors

-21.7 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.734
Physical production synergy-0.527
Improvement accelerating (+4.9) — getting better faster each year-0.454

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)