Player breakdown
Joseph Manjack IV
Texas Christian · 2026 Draft Class
6-3200 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~23
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: $1.1M
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
30%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | USC | Pac-12 | 11 | 7 | 67 | 0 | 9.6 | 6.1 |
| 2022 | Houston | American | 5 | 15 | 158 | 1 | 10.5 | 31.6 |
| 2023 | Houston | Big 12 | 10 | 46 | 577 | 6 | 12.5 | 57.7 |
| 2024 | Houston | Big 12 | 11 | 22 | 351 | 3 | 16 | 31.9 |
| 2025 | Texas Christian | Big 12 | 13 | 44 | 579 | 3 | 13.2 | 44.5 |
| Career | 50 | 134 | 1,732 | 13 | 12.9 | 34.6 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
4%
ML model output
Context Prob
70%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
4
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.282
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.245
Team averaged 0.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.191
Top Negative Factors
-9.9 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.731
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.641
Improvement accelerating (+7.6) — getting better faster each year-0.582