Player breakdown
Joseph Williams
Colorado · 2027 Draft Class
6-1195 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~20
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
4%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Tulsa | American | 12 | 30 | 588 | 5 | 19.6 | 49 |
| 2025 | Colorado | Big 12 | 10 | 37 | 489 | 4 | 13.2 | 48.9 |
| Career | 22 | 67 | 1,077 | 9 | 16.1 | 49.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
3%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.814
Recruit dominator synergy+0.399
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.249
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.363
-5.5 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.553
Accounted for 1.12 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.339