Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Josh Huff
Josh Huff

Player breakdown

Josh Huff

Oregon · 2014 Draft Class

5-11206 lbs3rd round, 86th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~34
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

25%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2014PHI1201889812.308.2
2015PHI154422731211.6320.8
20162TM10223161137.1111.3
2016PHI721713725.5110.3
2016TAM30634113.7013.7
Career478106676369.5513.5
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2010OregonPac-101319303315.923.3
2011OregonPac-121231430213.935.8
2012OregonPac-121132493715.444.8
2013OregonPac-1213621,1401218.487.7
Career491442,3662416.448.3

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

2%

ML model output

Context Prob

69%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

3

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

BMI 28.7 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (206 lbs)+0.228
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.220
Class YPR rank: top 13% — elite per-target efficiency+0.209

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.478
-7.7 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.585
Physical production synergy-0.542

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)