Player breakdown
Josh Malone
Tennessee · 2017 Draft Class
6-3208 lbs4th round, 128th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~30
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
10%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | CIN | 11 | 7 | 17 | 6 | 63 | 10.5 | 1 | 5.7 |
| 2018 | CIN | 9 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 1.3 |
| 2020 | NYJ | 4 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Career | 24 | 7 | 28 | 11 | 91 | 8.3 | 1 | 3.8 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | Tennessee | SEC | 13 | 23 | 231 | 1 | 10 | 17.8 |
| 2015 | Tennessee | SEC | 13 | 31 | 405 | 2 | 13.1 | 31.2 |
| 2016 | Tennessee | SEC | 13 | 50 | 972 | 11 | 19.4 | 74.8 |
| Career | 39 | 104 | 1,608 | 14 | 15.5 | 41.2 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
2%
ML model output
Context Prob
56%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
BMI 26.0 — ideal frame for NFL WR (208 lbs)+0.246
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.98 — elite recruit at elite school+0.225
Physical production synergy+0.218
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.494
-14.7 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.562
Recruit dominator synergy-0.258