Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Josh Meredith
Josh Meredith

Player breakdown

Josh Meredith

Washington State · 2026 Draft Class

6-0170 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

5%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2022Washington StatePac-12615050.8
2023Washington StatePac-1212353117.74.4
2024Washington StateInd1339472212.136.3
2025Washington StateInd1357723312.755.6
Career441001,253612.528.5

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

0%

ML model output

Context Prob

33%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.448
0.8 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.262
Team averaged 0.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.203

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.296
-22.9 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.586
Improvement accelerating (+143.6) — getting better faster each year-0.521

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)