Player breakdown
Junior Hemingway
Michigan · 2012 Draft Class
6-1225 lbs7th round, 238th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~37
EliteDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
75%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | KAN | 16 | 2 | 20 | 13 | 125 | 9.6 | 2 | 7.8 |
| 2014 | KAN | 14 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 108 | 9 | 0 | 7.7 |
| Career | 30 | 3 | 42 | 25 | 233 | 9.3 | 2 | 7.8 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | Michigan | Big Ten | 10 | 4 | 37 | 0 | 9.3 | 3.7 |
| 2008 | Michigan | Big Ten | 4 | 2 | 41 | 1 | 20.5 | 10.3 |
| 2009 | Michigan | Big Ten | 10 | 16 | 268 | 2 | 16.8 | 26.8 |
| 2010 | Michigan | Big Ten | 10 | 32 | 593 | 4 | 18.5 | 59.3 |
| 2011 | Michigan | Big Ten | 13 | 34 | 699 | 4 | 20.6 | 53.8 |
| Career | 47 | 88 | 1,638 | 11 | 18.6 | 34.9 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
28%
ML model output
Context Prob
95%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
7
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 15% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.241
3.7 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.264
BMI 29.7 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (225 lbs)+0.216
Top Negative Factors
-22.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.773
0.23 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.465
Improvement accelerating (+17.9) — getting better faster each year-0.432