Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Junior Sherrill
Junior Sherrill

Player breakdown

Junior Sherrill

Vanderbilt · 2026 Draft Class

5-11188 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~21
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

7%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2023VanderbiltSEC1220293314.724.4
2024VanderbiltSEC1329411314.231.6
2025VanderbiltSEC1354784714.560.3
Career381031,4881314.439.2

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

2%

ML model output

Context Prob

38%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.421
BMI 26.2 — ideal frame for NFL WR (188 lbs)+0.193
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.85 — elite recruit at elite school+0.190

Top Negative Factors

-15.3 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.726
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.602
Physical production synergy-0.421

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)