Player breakdown
Junior Vandeross III
Toledo · 2026 Draft Class
5-8182 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
10%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Toledo | MAC | 11 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 18 | 1.6 |
| 2023 | Toledo | MAC | 14 | 47 | 664 | 4 | 14.1 | 47.4 |
| 2024 | Toledo | MAC | 13 | 85 | 957 | 5 | 11.3 | 73.6 |
| 2025 | Toledo | MAC | 13 | 82 | 1,008 | 11 | 12.3 | 77.5 |
| Career | 51 | 215 | 2,647 | 20 | 12.3 | 51.9 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
3%
ML model output
Context Prob
51%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
1.6 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.253
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 1.02x — route-running independent of system+0.189
BMI 27.7 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (182 lbs)+0.168
Top Negative Factors
-0.3 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.718
Physical production synergy-0.557
Improvement accelerating (+55.0) — getting better faster each year-0.547