Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Juron Criner
Juron Criner

Player breakdown

Juron Criner

Arizona · 2012 Draft Class

6-2224 lbs5th round, 168th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~36
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

70%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2012OAK12033161519.4112.6
2013OAK10833210.7032
Career13041191839.6114.1
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2008ArizonaPac-1013788112.66.8
2009ArizonaPac-101345582912.944.8
2010ArizonaPac-1013821,233111594.8
2011ArizonaPac-1211759561112.786.9
Career502092,8593213.757.2

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

69%

ML model output

Context Prob

72%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

3

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 12% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.336
33.0% TD share at small school — strong red-zone role+0.331
Physical production synergy+0.279

Top Negative Factors

+0.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.713
Improvement accelerating (+13.0) — getting better faster each year-0.396
Recruit dominator synergy-0.209

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)