Player breakdown
Justin Harper
Virginia Tech · 2008 Draft Class
6-3213 lbs7th round, 215th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~41
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
10%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | BAL | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 | Central Michigan | MAC | 12 | 19 | 170 | 0 | 8.9 | 14.2 |
| 2003 | Central Michigan | MAC | 12 | 45 | 441 | 2 | 9.8 | 36.8 |
| 2004 | Central Michigan | MAC | 11 | 39 | 526 | 5 | 13.5 | 47.8 |
| 2004 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 11 | 5 | 84 | 1 | 16.8 | 7.6 |
| 2005 | Central Michigan | MAC | 10 | 64 | 607 | 4 | 9.5 | 60.7 |
| 2005 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 13 | 16 | 295 | 1 | 18.4 | 22.7 |
| 2006 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 12 | 21 | 324 | 1 | 15.4 | 27 |
| 2007 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 14 | 41 | 635 | 5 | 15.5 | 45.4 |
| Career | 95 | 250 | 3,082 | 19 | 12.3 | 32.4 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
2%
ML model output
Context Prob
53%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.411
7.6 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.274
Class YPR rank: top 15% — elite per-target efficiency+0.227
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.365
-29.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.580
Accounted for 1.67 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.411