Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Justin Hunter
Justin Hunter

Player breakdown

Justin Hunter

Tennessee · 2013 Draft Class

6-4196 lbs2nd round, 34th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~35
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

28%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2013TEN140421835419.7425.3
2014TEN128672849817.8341.5
2015TEN95312226412129.3
2016BUF125231018918.9415.8
2017PIT71104235.813.3
2018PIT5013321704.2
Career5919186851,34915.91322.9
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2010TennesseeSEC1316415725.931.9
2011TennesseeSEC317314218.5104.7
2012TennesseeSEC12731,083914.890.3
Career281061,8121817.164.7

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

2%

ML model output

Context Prob

77%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

3

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

BMI 23.9 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (196 lbs)+0.232
Class YPR rank: top 8% — elite per-target efficiency+0.198
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.98 — elite recruit at elite school+0.195

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.399
+10.3 ypg vs. draft class average — above average-0.532
Physical production synergy-0.478

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)