Player breakdown
Kaelin Clay
Utah · 2015 Draft Class
5-10195 lbs6th round, 184th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~34
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
53%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 2TM | 13 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 85 | 14.2 | 0 | 6.5 |
| 2017 | BUF | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 7 |
| 2017 | CAR | 9 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 57 | 11.4 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Career | 26 | 4 | 38 | 12 | 170 | 14.2 | 0 | 6.5 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | Utah | Pac-12 | 13 | 43 | 523 | 4 | 12.2 | 40.2 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
54%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 12% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.232
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.712
Recruit dominator synergy+0.495
Top Negative Factors
-14.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.724
Accounted for 1.38 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.394
0.31 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.356