Player breakdown
Kawaan Baker
South Alabama · 2021 Draft Class
6-0210 lbs7th round, 255th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~28
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
34%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 10 | 7 | 102 | 1 | 14.6 | 10.2 |
| 2018 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 12 | 33 | 494 | 4 | 15 | 41.2 |
| 2019 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 12 | 35 | 574 | 3 | 16.4 | 47.8 |
| 2020 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 11 | 51 | 659 | 8 | 12.9 | 59.9 |
| Career | 45 | 126 | 1,829 | 16 | 14.5 | 40.6 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
3%
ML model output
Context Prob
82%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
6
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.194
BMI 28.5 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (210 lbs)+0.192
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 1.04x — route-running independent of system+0.173
Top Negative Factors
-15.3 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.790
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.685
Accounted for 1.88 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.400