Player breakdown
Kayshon Boutte
LSU · 2023 Draft Class
5-11195 lbs6th round, 187th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~24
HighAll-Conference x1Did Not Hit
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
66%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | NWE | 5 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 19 | 9.5 | 0 | 3.8 |
| 2024 | NWE | 15 | 13 | 68 | 43 | 589 | 13.7 | 3 | 39.3 |
| 2025 | NWE | 14 | 10 | 46 | 33 | 551 | 16.7 | 6 | 39.4 |
| Career | 34 | 23 | 121 | 78 | 1,159 | 14.9 | 9 | 34.1 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | LSU | SEC | 10 | 45 | 735 | 5 | 16.3 | 73.5 |
| 2021 | LSU | SEC | 6 | 38 | 508 | 9 | 13.4 | 84.7 |
| 2022 | LSU | SEC | 11 | 48 | 538 | 2 | 11.2 | 48.9 |
| Career | 27 | 131 | 1,781 | 16 | 13.6 | 66.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
62%
ML model output
Context Prob
80%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 31% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.257
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.565
Physical production synergy+0.266
Top Negative Factors
Accounted for 1.75 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.409
+11.6 ypg vs. draft class average — above average-0.299
Efficiency consistency: 1.20 — highly consistent across seasons-0.264