Predicting the Pros
Predictions/K.D. Hutchinson
K.D. Hutchinson

Player breakdown

K.D. Hutchinson

Western Kentucky · 2026 Draft Class

5-8180 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

6%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2022Western KentuckyCUSA254809.624
2023Western KentuckyCUSA132019429.714.9
2024Western KentuckyCUSA1425383315.327.4
2025Western KentuckyCUSA136661839.447.5
Career421161,243810.729.6

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

2%

ML model output

Context Prob

33%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.451
Team averaged 0.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.200
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.86x — route-running independent of system+0.181

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 4% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.770
-22.6 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.757
Improvement accelerating (+11.9) — getting better faster each year-0.583

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)