Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Kealoha Pilares
Kealoha Pilares

Player breakdown

Kealoha Pilares

Hawaii · 2011 Draft Class

5-10199 lbs5th round, 132nd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~38
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

24%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2012CAR8042422115.3
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2007HawaiiWAC112624919.622.6
2008HawaiiWAC102924628.524.6
2009HawaiiWAC1366690410.553.1
2010HawaiiWAC13881,3061514.8100.5
Career472092,4912211.953.0

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

20%

ML model output

Context Prob

45%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 13% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.191
BMI 28.6 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (199 lbs)+0.169
Speed score 104.3 — strong weight-adjusted athleticism+0.162

Top Negative Factors

-1.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.692
Physical production synergy-0.464
Improvement accelerating (+4.2) — getting better faster each year-0.392

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)