
Player breakdown
KeAndre Lambert-Smith
Auburn · 2025 Draft Class
6-1190 lbs5th round, 158th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~24
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
11%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | LAC | 10 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 51 | 10.2 | 1 | 5.1 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
6%
ML model output
Context Prob
40%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
BMI 25.1 — ideal frame for NFL WR (190 lbs)+0.236
Class YPR rank: top 7% — elite per-target efficiency+0.212
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.92 — elite recruit at elite school+0.188
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.615
Improvement accelerating (+6.1) — getting better faster each year-0.489
Physical production synergy-0.314