Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Keelan Marion
Keelan Marion

Player breakdown

Keelan Marion

Miami (FL) · 2026 Draft Class

6-1180 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~23
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

15%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2021ConnecticutInd1228474516.939.5
2022ConnecticutInd5489122.317.8
2023BYUBig 121220216010.818
2024BYUBig 121324346114.426.6
2025Miami (FL)ACC1657746213.146.6
Career581331,871914.132.3

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

14%

ML model output

Context Prob

30%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 17% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.153
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.245
Team averaged 0.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.182

Top Negative Factors

+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.721
Physical production synergy-0.518
0.12 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.444

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)