Player breakdown
Keenan Burton
Kentucky · 2008 Draft Class
6-0201 lbs4th round, 128th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~41
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
28%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | STL | 13 | 1 | 29 | 13 | 172 | 13.2 | 1 | 13.2 |
| 2009 | STL | 9 | 6 | 45 | 25 | 253 | 10.1 | 0 | 28.1 |
| Career | 22 | 7 | 74 | 38 | 425 | 11.2 | 1 | 19.3 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | Kentucky | SEC | 12 | 20 | 221 | 2 | 11.1 | 18.4 |
| 2004 | Kentucky | SEC | 2 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 6.5 | 6.5 |
| 2005 | Kentucky | SEC | 7 | 24 | 365 | 2 | 15.2 | 52.1 |
| 2006 | Kentucky | SEC | 13 | 77 | 1,036 | 12 | 13.5 | 79.7 |
| 2007 | Kentucky | SEC | 12 | 66 | 741 | 9 | 11.2 | 61.8 |
| Career | 46 | 189 | 2,376 | 25 | 12.6 | 51.7 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
24%
ML model output
Context Prob
49%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 23% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.299
0.54 TDs/game — reliable scoring role in college+0.237
BMI 27.3 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (201 lbs)+0.191
Top Negative Factors
-4.3 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.719
Physical production synergy-0.394
Improvement accelerating (+3.7) — getting better faster each year-0.296