Player breakdown
KeeSean Johnson
Fresno St. · 2019 Draft Class
6-1201 lbs6th round, 174th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~29
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
73%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | ARI | 10 | 4 | 42 | 21 | 187 | 8.9 | 1 | 18.7 |
| 2020 | ARI | 8 | 1 | 23 | 15 | 173 | 11.5 | 0 | 21.6 |
| Career | 18 | 5 | 65 | 36 | 360 | 10.0 | 1 | 20.0 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | Fresno State | MWC | 12 | 37 | 337 | 2 | 9.1 | 28.1 |
| 2016 | Fresno State | MWC | 12 | 66 | 773 | 6 | 11.7 | 64.4 |
| 2017 | Fresno State | MWC | 14 | 77 | 1,013 | 8 | 13.2 | 72.4 |
| 2018 | Fresno State | MWC | 14 | 95 | 1,340 | 8 | 14.1 | 95.7 |
| Career | 52 | 275 | 3,463 | 24 | 12.6 | 66.6 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
79%
ML model output
Context Prob
35%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 12% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.327
Recruit dominator synergy+0.441
Accounted for 3.05 yards per team pass attempt — alpha receiver share+0.221
Top Negative Factors
+10.6 ypg vs. draft class average — above average-0.695
Improvement accelerating (+3.0) — getting better faster each year-0.318
0.09 TDs/catch — high-value usage pattern-0.190