Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Keke Coutee
Keke Coutee

Player breakdown

Keke Coutee

Texas Tech · 2018 Draft Class

5-10181 lbs4th round, 103rd overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~29
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

74%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2018HOU62412828710.3147.8
2019HOU94362225411.5028.2
2020HOU84403340012.1350
2021IND20115502.5
2022IND8011202002.5
Career33101198596611.4429.3
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2015Texas TechBig 12131110509.58.1
2016Texas TechBig 121255890716.274.2
2017Texas TechBig 1213931,4291015.4109.9
Career381592,4241715.263.8

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

42%

ML model output

Context Prob

95%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

5

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 10% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.130
8.1 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.269
BMI 26.0 — ideal frame for NFL WR (181 lbs)+0.222

Top Negative Factors

Physical production synergy-0.624
Improvement accelerating (+12.6) — getting better faster each year-0.479
+11.6 ypg vs. draft class average — above average-0.277

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)