Player breakdown
Kelvin Harmon
North Carolina St. · 2019 Draft Class
6-2221 lbs6th round, 206th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~29
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
17%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | WAS | 16 | 8 | 44 | 30 | 365 | 12.2 | 0 | 22.8 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | North Carolina State | ACC | 13 | 27 | 462 | 5 | 17.1 | 35.5 |
| 2017 | North Carolina State | ACC | 13 | 69 | 1,017 | 4 | 14.7 | 78.2 |
| 2018 | North Carolina State | ACC | 12 | 81 | 1,186 | 7 | 14.6 | 98.8 |
| Career | 38 | 177 | 2,665 | 16 | 15.1 | 70.1 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
10%
ML model output
Context Prob
57%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 21% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.202
BMI 28.4 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (221 lbs)+0.212
Speed score 98.7 — strong weight-adjusted athleticism+0.150
Top Negative Factors
Physical production synergy-0.617
Efficiency consistency: 1.14 — highly consistent across seasons-0.293
+13.2 ypg vs. draft class average — above average-0.282