Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Kenny Bell
Kenny Bell

Player breakdown

Kenny Bell

Nebraska · 2015 Draft Class

6-1197 lbs5th round, 162nd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~34
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

8%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2010AlabamaSEC102260132.6
2011NebraskaBig Ten1332461314.435.5
2011AlabamaSEC131725521519.6
2012NebraskaBig Ten1450863817.361.6
2012AlabamaSEC1217431325.435.9
2013NebraskaBig Ten1352577411.144.4
2013AlabamaSEC814167111.920.9
2014NebraskaBig Ten1347788616.860.6
Career962313,5682715.437.2

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

1%

ML model output

Context Prob

45%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

BMI 26.0 — ideal frame for NFL WR (197 lbs)+0.248
Physical production synergy+0.203
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.88 — elite recruit at elite school+0.187

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.624
-3.7 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.570
Improvement accelerating (+32.2) — getting better faster each year-0.316

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)