Player breakdown
Kenny Lawler
California · 2016 Draft Class
6-2203 lbs7th round, 243rd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~32
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
36%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | California | Pac-12 | 11 | 37 | 347 | 5 | 9.4 | 31.5 |
| 2014 | California | Pac-12 | 11 | 54 | 701 | 9 | 13 | 63.7 |
| 2015 | California | Pac-12 | 13 | 52 | 658 | 13 | 12.7 | 50.6 |
| Career | 35 | 143 | 1,706 | 27 | 11.9 | 48.7 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
37%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 26% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.338
Recruit dominator synergy+0.306
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.92x — route-running independent of system+0.182
Top Negative Factors
-7.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.711
Physical production synergy-0.461
Accounted for 1.31 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.404