Player breakdown
Kenny McKinley
South Carolina · 2009 Draft Class
6-0189 lbs5th round, 141st overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~39
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
32%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 | South Carolina | SEC | 12 | 25 | 291 | 1 | 11.6 | 24.3 |
| 2006 | South Carolina | SEC | 13 | 51 | 880 | 5 | 17.3 | 67.7 |
| 2007 | South Carolina | SEC | 12 | 77 | 968 | 9 | 12.6 | 80.7 |
| 2008 | South Carolina | SEC | 10 | 54 | 642 | 4 | 11.9 | 64.2 |
| Career | 47 | 207 | 2,781 | 19 | 13.4 | 59.2 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
28%
ML model output
Context Prob
55%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 20% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.329
Physical production synergy+0.408
BMI 25.6 — ideal frame for NFL WR (189 lbs)+0.249
Top Negative Factors
+4.8 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.749
0.40 TDs/game — reliable scoring role in college-0.305
Improvement accelerating (+2.3) — getting better faster each year-0.287