Player breakdown
Kerry Meier
Kansas · 2010 Draft Class
6-2224 lbs5th round, 165th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~39
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
10%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | ATL | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | Kansas | Big 12 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0.6 |
| 2007 | Kansas | Big 12 | 13 | 26 | 274 | 2 | 10.5 | 21.1 |
| 2008 | Kansas | Big 12 | 13 | 97 | 1,045 | 8 | 10.8 | 80.4 |
| 2009 | Kansas | Big 12 | 12 | 102 | 985 | 8 | 9.7 | 82.1 |
| Career | 46 | 226 | 2,309 | 18 | 10.2 | 50.2 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
3%
ML model output
Context Prob
53%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
0.6 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.270
BMI 28.8 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (224 lbs)+0.175
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.90x — route-running independent of system+0.162
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 4% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.835
-6.8 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.736
Physical production synergy-0.521