Player breakdown
Keshawn Martin
Michigan St. · 2012 Draft Class
5-11188 lbs4th round, 121st overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~36
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
38%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | HOU | 16 | 1 | 28 | 10 | 85 | 8.5 | 1 | 5.3 |
| 2013 | HOU | 16 | 1 | 40 | 22 | 253 | 11.5 | 2 | 15.8 |
| 2014 | HOU | 16 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 78 | 13 | 0 | 4.9 |
| 2015 | NWE | 9 | 8 | 37 | 24 | 269 | 11.2 | 2 | 29.9 |
| Career | 57 | 10 | 117 | 62 | 685 | 11.0 | 5 | 12.0 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 10 | 11 | 132 | 0 | 12 | 13.2 |
| 2009 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 13 | 18 | 411 | 5 | 22.8 | 31.6 |
| 2010 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 11 | 32 | 394 | 1 | 12.3 | 35.8 |
| 2011 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 14 | 66 | 777 | 4 | 11.8 | 55.5 |
| Career | 48 | 127 | 1,714 | 10 | 13.5 | 35.7 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
2%
ML model output
Context Prob
92%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
6
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.491
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.96x — route-running independent of system+0.190
BMI 26.2 — ideal frame for NFL WR (188 lbs)+0.185
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.396
-18.7 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.601
Accounted for 1.72 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.395