Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Kevin Concepcion
Kevin Concepcion

Player breakdown

Kevin Concepcion

Texas A&M · 2026 Draft Class

6-0196 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~21
Elite
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: $2.7M
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

76%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2023North Carolina StateACC13718391011.864.5
2024North Carolina StateACC125346068.738.3
2025Texas A&MSEC1361919915.170.7
Career381852,2182512.058.4

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

74%

ML model output

Context Prob

77%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

5

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 14% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.145
Improvement accelerating (+0.1) — getting better faster each year+0.557
0.69 TDs/game — reliable scoring role in college+0.230

Top Negative Factors

Physical production synergy-0.448
Accounted for 0.00 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.360
Recruit dominator synergy-0.269

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)