Player breakdown
Kevin Dorsey
Maryland · 2013 Draft Class
6-2210 lbs7th round, 224th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~36
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
9%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | GNB | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1.3 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | Maryland | ACC | 12 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 5.7 | 1.4 |
| 2010 | Maryland | ACC | 13 | 15 | 187 | 2 | 12.5 | 14.4 |
| 2011 | Maryland | ACC | 10 | 45 | 573 | 3 | 12.7 | 57.3 |
| 2012 | Maryland | ACC | 12 | 18 | 311 | 4 | 17.3 | 25.9 |
| Career | 47 | 81 | 1,088 | 9 | 13.4 | 23.1 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
3%
ML model output
Context Prob
48%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 26% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.157
1.4 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.259
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.98x — route-running independent of system+0.181
Top Negative Factors
-32.8 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.750
Improvement accelerating (+32.7) — getting better faster each year-0.521
Physical production synergy-0.501