Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Kevin Norwood
Kevin Norwood

Player breakdown

Kevin Norwood

Alabama · 2014 Draft Class

6-2198 lbs4th round, 123rd overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~36
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

72%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2014SEA9210910211.3011.3
2015CAR10100000
Career10211910211.3010.2
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2010AlabamaSEC13356118.74.3
2011AlabamaSEC1111190017.317.3
2012AlabamaSEC1329461415.935.5
2013AlabamaSEC1238568714.947.3
Career49811,2751215.726.0

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

19%

ML model output

Context Prob

95%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

8

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 33% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.139
Recruit dominator synergy+0.344
4.3 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.262

Top Negative Factors

-28.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.764
Improvement accelerating (+9.1) — getting better faster each year-0.477
0.24 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.454

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)