Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Kevin Robinson
Kevin Robinson

Player breakdown

Kevin Robinson

Utah St. · 2008 Draft Class

5-11202 lbs6th round, 182nd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~41
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

38%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2004Utah StateSun Belt1144602313.754.7
2005Utah StateWAC1143661815.460.1
2006Utah StateWAC1236582516.248.5
2007Utah StateWAC1255640511.653.3
Career461782,4852114.054.0

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

39%

ML model output

Context Prob

30%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 17% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.283
Improvement accelerating (+0.1) — getting better faster each year+0.434
46.0% TD share at small school — dominant alpha receiver red-zone role+0.315

Top Negative Factors

-1.9 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.747
Physical production synergy-0.388
Recruit dominator synergy-0.303

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)