Player breakdown
Kris Durham
Georgia · 2011 Draft Class
6-5212 lbs4th round, 107th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~38
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
45%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | SEA | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 10 | 0 | 10 |
| 2012 | DET | 4 | 3 | 21 | 8 | 125 | 15.6 | 1 | 31.3 |
| 2013 | DET | 16 | 13 | 85 | 38 | 490 | 12.9 | 2 | 30.6 |
| 2014 | TEN | 4 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 54 | 9 | 0 | 13.5 |
| Career | 27 | 16 | 121 | 55 | 699 | 12.7 | 3 | 25.9 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | Georgia | SEC | 13 | 8 | 82 | 0 | 10.3 | 6.3 |
| 2007 | Georgia | SEC | 13 | 11 | 169 | 0 | 15.4 | 13 |
| 2008 | Georgia | SEC | 10 | 13 | 199 | 1 | 15.3 | 19.9 |
| 2010 | Georgia | SEC | 11 | 32 | 659 | 3 | 20.6 | 59.9 |
| Career | 47 | 64 | 1,109 | 4 | 17.3 | 23.6 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
13%
ML model output
Context Prob
93%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
6
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 16% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.173
Recruit dominator synergy+0.483
6.3 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.256
Top Negative Factors
-32.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.759
Improvement accelerating (+7.0) — getting better faster each year-0.564
0.09 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.469