Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Kris Hutson
Kris Hutson

Player breakdown

Kris Hutson

Arizona · 2026 Draft Class

5-10175 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~24
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

27%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2020OregonPac-12743709.35.3
2021OregonPac-121431419213.529.9
2022OregonPac-121344472010.736.3
2023OregonPac-12518081.6
2024Washington StateInd1254683212.656.9
2025ArizonaBig 121260764412.763.7
Career631942,383812.337.8

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

27%

ML model output

Context Prob

35%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 12% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.144
Recruit dominator synergy+0.341
Team averaged 0.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.190

Top Negative Factors

Improvement accelerating (+19.6) — getting better faster each year-0.578
Accounted for 0.00 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.390
0.33 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.350

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)