Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Kyle Philips
Kyle Philips

Player breakdown

Kyle Philips

UCLA · 2022 Draft Class

5-11189 lbs5th round, 163rd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~27
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

7%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2022TEN40138789.8019.5
2023TEN90221518112.1020.1
Career130352325911.3019.9
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2018UCLAPac-12563105.26.2
2019UCLAPac-121260681511.456.8
2020UCLAPac-1273837029.752.9
2021UCLAPac-1211597391012.567.2
Career351631,8211711.252.0

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

1%

ML model output

Context Prob

43%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

6.2 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.264
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.96x — route-running independent of system+0.186
BMI 26.4 — ideal frame for NFL WR (189 lbs)+0.156

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.514
-2.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.541
Physical production synergy-0.525

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)