Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Kyri Shoels
Kyri Shoels

Player breakdown

Kyri Shoels

San Jose State · 2026 Draft Class

6-0182 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

33%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2025San Jose StateMWC125976821364

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

34%

ML model output

Context Prob

30%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.875
Recruit dominator synergy+0.441
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.246

Top Negative Factors

+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.727
Program WR pipeline: 4% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.667
0.17 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.396

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)