Player breakdown
Landon Ellis
James Madison · 2026 Draft Class
6-2200 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
33%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | James Madison | Sun Belt | 13 | 36 | 624 | 5 | 17.3 | 48 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
33%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.851
Recruit dominator synergy+0.424
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.276
Top Negative Factors
-6.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.739
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.474
Accounted for 0.00 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.354