Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Latrell Caples
Latrell Caples

Player breakdown

Latrell Caples

Boise State · 2026 Draft Class

6-0191 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~23
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

6%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2021Boise StateMWC74560148
2022Boise StateMWC1451549410.839.2
2024Boise StateMWC1338473512.436.4
2025Boise StateMWC1451617312.144.1
Career481441,6951211.835.3

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

2%

ML model output

Context Prob

30%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.399
8.0 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.262
Team averaged 0.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.200

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-1.325
-19.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.708
Improvement accelerating (+10.0) — getting better faster each year-0.581

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)