Player breakdown
Lavelle Hawkins
California · 2008 Draft Class
5-11187 lbs4th round, 126th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~40
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
23%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | TEN | 13 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 68 | 9.7 | 0 | 5.2 |
| 2009 | TEN | 10 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 110 | 15.7 | 0 | 11 |
| 2010 | TEN | 6 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 61 | 12.2 | 0 | 10.2 |
| 2011 | TEN | 16 | 2 | 77 | 47 | 470 | 10 | 1 | 29.4 |
| 2012 | TEN | 7 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 62 | 12.4 | 0 | 8.9 |
| Career | 52 | 4 | 120 | 71 | 771 | 10.9 | 1 | 14.8 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 | California | Pac-10 | 9 | 18 | 171 | 1 | 9.5 | 19 |
| 2006 | California | Pac-10 | 13 | 46 | 705 | 5 | 15.3 | 54.2 |
| 2007 | California | Pac-10 | 13 | 72 | 872 | 6 | 12.1 | 67.1 |
| Career | 35 | 136 | 1,748 | 12 | 12.9 | 49.9 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
6%
ML model output
Context Prob
54%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 26% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.206
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 1.04x — route-running independent of system+0.189
BMI 26.1 — ideal frame for NFL WR (187 lbs)+0.157
Top Negative Factors
-4.5 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.710
Physical production synergy-0.542
Improvement accelerating (+4.1) — getting better faster each year-0.387